BRUSSELS -- European finance officials have discussed limiting the
size of withdrawals from ATM machines, imposing border checks, and
introducing euro-zone capital controls as a worst-case scenario should
Greece decide to leave the euro.
EU officials have told Reuters the ideas are part of a range of
contingency plans. They emphasized that the discussions were merely
about being prepared for any eventuality rather than planning for
something they expect to happen -- no one Reuters has spoken to expects
Greece to leave the single-currency area.
But with increased political uncertainty in Greece following the
inconclusive election on May 6 and ahead of a second election on June
17, there is now an increased need to have contingencies in place, the
EU sources said.
The discussions have taken place in conference calls over the past six
weeks, as concerns have grown that a radical-left coalition, SYRIZA, may
win the second election, increasing the risk that Greece could renege
on its EU/IMF bailout and therefore move closer to abandoning the
currency.
No decisions have been taken on the calls, but members of the
Eurogroup Working Group, which consists of euro zone deputy finance
ministers and heads of treasury departments, have discussed the options
in some detail, the sources said.
Belgium's finance minister, Steve Vanackere, said at the end of May
that it was a function of each euro zone state to be prepared for
problems. These discussions have been in that vein, with the specific
aim of limiting a bank run or capital flight.
As well as limiting cash withdrawals and imposing capital controls,
they have discussed the possibility of suspending the Schengen
agreement, which allows for visa-free travel among 26 countries,
including most of the European Union.
"Contingency planning is underway for a scenario under which Greece
leaves," one of the sources, who has been involved in the conference
calls, said. "Limited cash withdrawals from ATMs and limited movement of
capital have been considered and analyzed."
Another source confirmed the discussions, including that the suspension of Schengen was among the options raised.
"These are not political discussions, these are discussions among
finance experts who need to be prepared for any eventuality," the second
source said. "It is sensible planning, that is all, planning for the
worst-case scenario."
The first official said it was still being examined whether there was a legal basis for such extreme measures.
"The Bank of Greece is not aware of any such plans," a central bank
spokesman in Athens told Reuters when asked about the sources' comments.
The vast majority of Greeks -- some surveys have indicated 75 to 80
percent -- like the euro and want to retain the currency, something
Greek politicians are aware of and which may dissuade them from pushing
the country too close to the brink.
However, SYRIZA is expected to win or come a strong second on June
17. Alexis Tsipras, the party's 37-year-old leader, has said he plans to
tear up or heavily renegotiate the 130-billion-euro bailout agreed with
the European Union and International Monetary Fund. The EU and IMF have
said they are not prepared to renegotiate.
If those differences cannot be resolved, the threat of the country
leaving or being forced out of the euro will remain, and hence the need
for contingencies to be in place.
Switzerland said last month it was considering introducing capital controls if the euro falls apart.
In a conference call on May 21, the Eurogroup Working Group told euro
zone member states that they should each have a plan in place if Greece
were to leave the currency.
Belgium's Vanackere said two days after that call that it was a basic
function of each euro zone member state to be prepared for any
eventuality.
"All the contingency plans (for Greece) come back to the same thing:
to be responsible as a government is to foresee even what you hope to
avoid," he told reporters.
"We must insist on efforts to avoid an exit scenario but that doesn't mean we are not preparing for eventualities."
No comments:
Post a Comment