With
continued uncertainty in major markets, as well as gold and silver,
today King World News interviewed James Turk out of Europe. Turk
discussed the aftermath of the Greek elections and what investors
should expect going forward. Here is what Turk had to say about what is
taking place: “The Greek election has come and
gone, Eric, but the Greek vote has changed nothing. Europe is still in a
severe crisis, and every attempt to solve this crisis has failed
because no serious solutions have been proposed. All the central
planners did was buy time, and that precious time has been squandered
with their various schemes.”
“There are two crises actually, Eric, but
they are interlinked. Worryingly, these sovereign debt and bank
insolvency crises are deepening. Today we have Spanish 10-year yield
topping 7%. That is the level that brought Greece, Ireland and Portugal
to their knees. These countries asked for bailouts because private
lenders no longer wanted to take the risk of lending money to them.
Three years ago when the
Greek crisis was just getting started, I wrote an article that focused
on the core issue that still resonates today. That article noted that
the fuse on the sovereign debt crisis had been lit, and I asked whether
the crisis would bring about the end of national socialism because
governments had run out of money....
“Since then it has become clear that
governments have also run out of borrowing capacity. The central
planners have used up their ability to borrow to keep their game going.
The socialist governments
of Europe spent taxpayer money to live far beyond their means, while
politicians made promises that could never be fulfilled. The
interesting point though, Eric, is that these unrealistic promises have
become clear to everyone except socialist politicians and the people who
vote for them, who either don't understand or hope that these promises
are not hollow. We can see this divide in this weekend's Greek
election.
Older voters supported the
bailout, while younger voters threw their weight behind renegotiating or
defaulting on the externally imposed austerity measures. It was not a
vote for or against the euro, because over 80% of the Greek population
want to keep that currency.
The choice voters faced was
business as usual, or for making an about-face and heading in the right
direction. In that sense, what happened in Greece is much like we are
seeing in the US with the support being given by younger Americans to
Ron Paul. By a slim margin, the older Greek voters won.
These older voters hope the
unrealistic promises of Greek politicians will be kept, but younger
voters sense the reality of the situation. It is these younger voters
who are without work because of the 53% youth unemployment rate.
Understandably they want and need economic conditions to change.
Focus will now shift to
France, where elections this weekend brought in a socialist majority in
their parliament. We'll soon see where President François Hollande will
find the money to fulfill his election promise to hire 12,000 civil
servants a year. How he expects more central planners are supposed to
help a weakening economy is beyond me.
So what it comes down to,
Eric, is who is going to blink first? Germany and its like-minded
neighbors who want Bundesbank discipline for managing the euro, or will
it be the socialists and central planners? The London Telegraph
reported on Friday: ‘Mrs Merkel warned the policies of the new
Socialist president could destroy the eurozone by bringing the sovereign
debt crisis to France itself.’ That is where I think the crisis is
headed, and it seems inevitable that the eurozone will soon split.
To make matters worse,
there is added worry for private lenders because the EUR 100 billion
bailout for Spanish banks will supposedly be senior to existing debts.
So just as occurred with the Greek bailout, governments changed the
rules to favor government institutions over the private market.
Europe is becoming
increasingly unfavorable to private capital, so it is not surprising
money is moving to other parts of the world. This is having the
undesired effect of weakening the European economy.”
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