An extraordinary number of earthquakes of M4.5 and greater were
triggered worldwide in the six days after the M8.6 East Indian Ocean
earthquake in April 2012. These large and potentially damaging quakes,
occurring as far away as Mexico and Japan, were triggered within days of
the passage of seismic waves from the main shock that generated
stresses in Earth’s crust.
The East Indian Ocean event was the largest — by a factor of 10 —
strike-slip earthquake ever recorded (the San Andreas is perhaps the
most famous strike-slip fault). “Most great earthquakes occur along
subduction zones and involve large vertical motions. No other recorded
earthquake triggered as many large earthquakes elsewhere around the
world as this one,” said Pollitz, “probably because strike-slip faults
around the globe were more responsive to the seismic waves produced by a
giant strike-slip temblor.”
The authors emphasize that the week of global triggering seen after
the East Indian Ocean quake has no bearing on the hypothesis advanced by
others that the 2004 M9.2 Sumatra, 2010 M8.8 Maule, Chile, and 2011
M9.0 Tohoku, Japan, are related to each other. Instead, the effect of
increased earthquakes lasted a week—not a decade.
Sumatra quake affects faults up to 250 miles away
While global triggering of large aftershocks appears very rare,
regional triggering is common and important to understand for post-main
shock emergency response and recovery. Sevilgen and his USGS colleagues
studied the largest quake to strike in 40 years to understand just how
great the reach is on aftershock occurrence. After the M9.2 earthquake
in Sumatra in 2004, aftershocks larger than M4.5 ceased for five years
along part of a distant series of linked faults known as the Andaman
back arc fault system. Along a larger segment of the same system, the
sideways-slipping transform earthquakes decreased by two-thirds, while
the rate of rift events – earthquakes that happen on a spreading center –
increased by 800 percent, according to Sevilgen and his colleagues at
the USGS. These very large, but distant seismicity rate changes are
unprecedented.
The authors investigated two possible causes for the changes in
remote seismicity rates: the dynamic stresses imparted by the main shock
rupture, which best explain the global triggering in the April 2012
quake case; and the small but permanent stress changes, which best
explain this one. The authors found that the main shock brought the
transform fault segments about ¼ bar of pressure farther from static
failure, and the rift segments about ¼ bar closer to static failure (for
comparison, car tires are inflated with about 3 bars of pressure),
which matches the seismic observations.
Why it matters
Incorporating the probability of aftershocks into the hazard
assessment of an area is important because the damage of even a moderate
aftershock sometimes exceeds that wrought by the main event. For
example, a M6.3 aftershock five months after the M7.1 New Zealand
earthquake in 2010 hit a more populated area, causing 181 deaths and
tripling the insured property damage of the main event.

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