“It may be ‘crossing the Rubicon’ if you
will, from the thinking that the Fed might be able to elicit a cyclical
economic rebound, to it looks as though we have a serious debt problem.
In an economic environment in the United States in which the budget
deficit is on pace to grow at $1 trillion a year, it seems to me that
the markets are starting to internalize that this is something bigger
than what was previously acknowledged.
“We see the $40 billion a month in mortgage
backed securities purchases as being a way to put your thumb in the
dyke. We think it’s only going to get larger. There is much more of
this to come. The frequency of further QE announcements is going to be
greater, and it’s ultimately going to lead to much higher resource and
precious metals prices.
Gold was up today, but what I really think we are looking at is a fundamental shift in investor psychology
in that there is only so much central banks can do in terms of real
economic stimulation. Meaning they can’t. So, again, what we are
looking at is a deleveraging process that has to take place. There is
nothing that fiscal policy can do about it.
We also think we are
beginning the next and last wave of gold’s uptrend. In reality, the
move today was muted. I would agree with Felix Zulauf’s comment (on KWN) today that you are supposed to buy the dips, and that’s been our strategy for years now.”
Brodsky added:
“I would also agree with Felix that we are in the process of witnessing
the end of the fiat money system right now. The end result is probably
going to be a new global currency regime. It’s the only politically
expedient way out.
By the way, the
deleveraging that has to take place is the gap between bank assets and
base money, and maybe even more than that. There are only two ways to
handle this. The first way is to let it deteriorate on its own. That
would involve bank system failure and a deflationary depression.
The other way to deleverage
is to simply manufacture the base money, which of course destroys the
purchasing power of all savings. We believe this second choice is what
the central planners have been and will continue to choose. This
frankly defines QE. They are confirming it because this is the 3rd
round of QE we have seen, and they are going to continue doing more.
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