April 23, 2001 - This past December in "The Smoking Gun" I provided substantive proof that the Exchange Stabilization Fund
was intervening in the gold market. From publicly available reports
prepared by the Federal Reserve, I established that the weight of gold
held as a component of the US Reserve Assets has been changing, and that
these changes - some of which are of significant size - result from
activity by the ESF. These Federal Reserve reports conclusively
demonstrate that the ESF has been intervening in the gold market since
at least 1996.
Though these Federal Reserve reports make clear that the ESF is
involved in the gold market up to its 'earmarks', a lot of people remain
skeptical. I don't know why that is. It is worth noting that many of
the most obstinate skeptics who deny US government involvement in the
gold market live overseas and have little, if any, experience or
understanding of the way the US government really works. But even
Americans find it difficult to accept that the US government intervenes
in the gold market. Ironically though, they readily admit that the
government intervenes in the debt markets, foreign currency markets,
and according to a growing number of people, even in the US stock
market. It is therefore most baffling that they do not concede the
ESF's involvement in the gold market.
Maybe people are skeptical because they haven't bothered to take the
time to read the Federal Reserve reports for themselves. Maybe it's
because it's easier to accept the word of some government bureaucrat who
denies ESF involvement in the gold market
than it is to seek out and look for the truth. Maybe they don't want
to believe that the US government is lying to them when Treasury
official after Treasury official denies any involvement by the ESF in
the gold market. I don't know. Or maybe it's because they think that
government officials work for the American people - and not for vested
interests - in their deliberative sessions behind closed doors.
Wouldn't it be refreshing if we could peek-in behind those closed doors
to see what really is being said?
The reality is that very little emerges from behind closed doors, and
the minutes and transcripts of closed-door sessions that do make it
into the public domain contain redactions that blank out the 'good
parts' - the revealing statements. But what if someone forgot to redact
one of those 'good parts'? Too fantastic to be true? Well, sit down,
take a deep breath and carefully read what follows.
A few weeks ago Reg Howe contacted me and asked my view on something
he had discovered. He wanted a second opinion on this discovery, just
like I contacted him for a second opinion after I came across the
Federal Reserve reports showing the ESF's gold related activity.
When I read what Reg showed me, I was stunned. But at the same time,
it was clear to me what I was reading and what had happened. A
transcript of the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee has been
released for which somebody forgot to get his or her red pen out.
Someone forgot to redact some very revealing words about the ESF and its
activity with gold. Here's what was said.
www.federalreserve.gov - Transcripts [See the transcript from the January 31st 1995 meeting.]
MR. MATTINGLY. It's pretty clear that these ESF operations are
authorized. I don't think there is a legal problem in terms of the
authority. The [ESF] statute is very broadly worded in terms of words like "credit" - it has covered things like the gold swaps - and it confers broad authority. [Emphasis added]
Please read the above statement again, and maybe even a third and
fourth time. This statement, which I can only assume was inadvertently
not redacted by the FOMC Secretariat, confirms what we already know, but
the US government has all along refused to admit - that the ESF is
involved in the gold market. In fact, the authority of the ESF is so
broad that "it has covered things like the gold swaps". In other words,
the authority of the ESF is so broad it has even been used to authorize
"gold swaps".
Before further exploring the above quote, some background information is necessary.
The proceedings of each FOMC meeting are taped. These tapes are then
transcribed, and the Federal Reserve releases these transcripts after
five years. Thus, the transcripts from the 1995 meetings were released
earlier this year, and having now read through them, I can honestly say
that they contain a treasure trove of material, even though there are
many redactions. The important point is that these transcripts are not
only informative, but they are an accurate record of what is going on
behind closed doors. Here is what the Federal Reserve itself says about
the FOMC transcripts: www.federalreserve.gov
"Beginning with the 1994 meetings, the FOMC Secretariat produced
the transcripts shortly after each meeting from an audio recording of
the proceedings, lightly editing the speakers' original words, where
necessary, to facilitate the reader's understanding. Meeting
participants were then given an opportunity within the next several
weeks to review the transcript for accuracy.
For the meetings preceding 1994, the transcripts were produced
from the original, raw transcripts in the FOMC Secretariat's files.
These records have also been lightly edited by the Secretariat to
facilitate the reader's understanding. In addition, where one or more
words were missed or garbled in the transcription, the notation
"unintelligible" has been inserted. In some instances, words have been
added in brackets to complete a speaker's apparent thought or to correct
an obvious transcription error or misstatement.
Nonetheless, for the pre-1994 transcripts, errors undoubtedly
remain. The raw transcripts were not fully edited for accuracy at the
time they were prepared because they were intended only as an aid to the
Secretariat in preparing meeting minutes. The edited pre-1994
transcripts have not been reviewed by present or past members of the
Committee."
In other words, the 1995 transcripts are accurate. There are no
disclaimers for them, like those made for the pre-1994 transcripts.
Therefore, the above quote by Mr. Mattingly about the ESF and gold is
accurate. And who is Mr. Mattingly? Virgil Mattingly is General Counsel
of the Federal Reserve, its chief legal advisor.
That Mattingly's remark passed without comment by anyone in the FOMC
meeting implies that everyone knew exactly what he was referring to. In
other words, to explain ESF authority his example was purposefully
chosen. It was one to which the Federal Reserve Governors could all
relate because it was something they saw happen during their watch. In
my imagination I can see them sitting around the big FOMC conference
table nodding their heads in agreement when Mattingly used this example
of the gold swaps to explain how broad the ESF's authority actually is.
Recognize too that though he is talking in the past tense, it doesn't
necessarily mean the swaps had already happened. They may still be
happening because he may be referring to the authority that approved the
gold swaps and presumably the swap lines, but not necessarily the date
of the actual swaps themselves.
So that this quote of Mattingly is not taken out of context, let me
provide some background information. Also, I invite you to read the
full 145-page transcript of this January 31st, 1995 FOMC meeting if you
would like to confirm both the accuracy of the above quote and the
background information I am about to provide. By reading the entire
transcript you will also see how frequently material was redacted.
Mattingly's comments were made in a discussion by the FOMC on the
rapidly deteriorating financial situation in Mexico. Crisis conditions
had been prevailing since the Peso began tumbling the month before,
i.e., December 1994. You will recall that the Clinton administration
back then had proposed that Congress provide a $40 billion package of
government guarantees to bailout those who had loaned money to Mexico,
and that Congress had rejected this proposal. The administration was
therefore scrambling to come up with a way to get the money they thought
necessary to 'fix' the problem. Unable to tap the Treasury directly
because of the rebuff by Congress, the administration turned to the ESF.
Because the Federal Reserve was to be part of the proposed bailout,
the FOMC was reviewing what role the Federal Reserve would play in
conjunction with the ESF. A proposal was on the table for the FOMC's
consideration. A Mr. Fix-it who seems to be the go-between for the
Treasury and the Fed was presenting the proposal. His name is Ted
Truman. And he was responding to various FOMC members who were
questioning whether the ESF had the legal authority to do what was being
proposed. Hence, the Federal Reserve's legal counsel Virgil Mattingly
responded, using the "gold swaps" as an example of just how broad the
ESF's authority actually is.
To give you a flavor of the full discussion underway in the FOMC meeting, here's a sample of the transcript.
MR. MELZER. What ability do the Treasury or the ESF have to take us out of an obligation [i.e., repay the Federal Reserve]
if funds are not appropriated by Congress? Do they have the ability
just to say, we committed to this and we are going to pay the Fed off?
MR. TRUMAN. Yes, they could.
MR. MELZER. But if they can do that, why can't they just advance it themselves?
MR. TRUMAN. They could, but I think they feel that it would be useful to their objectives to have a lot of people - [apparently the rest of his comments are redacted]
The discussion then continues on this point, but touches upon the
relationship between the ESF and the Treasury. These comments also
establish that the ESF does not use "appropriated funds", meaning that
the ESF is answerable only to the Secretary of the Treasury and the
President. All actions of the ESF are beyond Congressional authority.
CHAIRMAN GREENSPAN. Could I just formally respond to Governor
Lindsey? There is a question here of whether or not the amount the
United States Treasury gives us has to be appropriated funds, which I
think is really where our examination of the issue has to be. In
examining the take-out, we ought to make certain that we talk to them
with respect to the question of what happens if they do not get the
appropriated funds.
MR. TRUMAN. Mr. Chairman, the Exchange Stabilization Fund does not have appropriated funds.
CHAIRMAN GREENSPAN. Are we going to be getting a take-out from the Exchange Stabilization Fund?
MR. TRUMAN. I think that is what is in the program.
CHAIRMAN GREENSPAN. Okay.
SPEAKER(?). That is not the same as the Treasury.
MR. TRUMAN. Even if we didn't, the precedent in the 196Os - I
think there was a question then about whether the Treasury could engage
in foreign exchange operations outside of the ESF - was the use of Roosa
bonds in the 1960s. The Treasury floated Roosa bonds to obtain foreign
currencies and used some of those currencies to take us out. That did
not involve appropriated funds. That was treated as a debt-management
operation.
The above passage confirms what we already know, but many people
refuse to admit. The ESF is a slush fund beyond Congressional
oversight. It can be used to 'get around' most anything (i.e., it can
skirt normal governmental procedures). No wonder so many people want to
do away with the ESF. There is no room for it in our democratic
process. It is not subject to the normal checks-and-balances so
carefully crafted by the Founding Fathers that have proven over time to
be so essential for control within the federal government. The ESF is
the antithesis of the American foundation of representative government
because it subjects a free people to an unconstitutional governmental
force. Still not convinced? Here are some more excerpts:
MR. LINDSEY. My second question has to do with our credibility. I
don't know what questions to ask, and I hope you will help me out in
that regard. I have this document in front of me, which includes a page
entitled "What is the Exchange Stabilization Fund?" The document came
from Treasury International Affairs. I gather it was written by them. I
have written enough of these to know what you do, and that is to tell
your point of view. Paragraph 3, not to mention the dots indicating an
omission in paragraph 2, got me a little nervous. Paragraph 3 says
these holdings in the ESF are used to enter into swap arrangements with
foreign governments, to finance exchange market intervention, to provide
short-term bridge finance, etc., and all these things are great. So,
basically paragraph 3 is establishing that this is not unprecedented.
My question would be: Do we do all these nice things if it's not in
support of the dollar? Is this unprecedented with regard to the fact
that we are supporting another currency?
MR. TRUMAN. The language before the dots is--
MR. LINDSEY. I am talking about the third paragraph. I will go to
the second paragraph in a second. I'm sorry. I am running a little out
of order. It is saying the ESF has done all these things.
MR. TRUMAN. The legislation governing the objectives of the ESF
was changed, I think for the most part in the mid- to late-1970s. The
changes included the language that the government of the United States
and the International Monetary Fund have the obligation to promote
orderly exchange rate arrangements leading to a stable system of
exchange rates. That was interpreted to include making loans to Bolivia
in helping it maintain a system of stable exchange rates.
MR. LINDSEY. So that has happened before?
MR. TRUMAN. Yes. They have made loans to or financial arrangements
with at least 31 countries around the world over the last 50 years.
MR. LINDSEY. I think we all will be asked questions about this.
Can you read this paper and tell me that there is not something missing
that I should know about, meaning that this is not only the truth but
the whole truth? MR. TRUMAN. I can only say that Treasury lawyers have
looked into the question of whether these operations are legal under
this broad authorization of what they can do and what the purpose is--
MR. MATTINGLY. If I can help out?
MR. LINDSEY. Yes.
MR. MATTINGLY. It's pretty clear that these ESF operations are
authorized. I don't think there is a legal problem in terms of the
authority. The statute is very broadly worded in terms of words like
"credit - it has covered things like the gold swaps - and it
confers broad authority. Counsel at the White House called the
Treasury's General Counsel today and asked "Are you sure?" And the
Treasury's General Counsel said "I am sure." Everyone is satisfied that
a legal issue is not involved, if that helps. [Emphasis added]
MR. LINDSEY. Is there anything missing on this page?
MR. MATTINGLY. No, there is not. If you look at the last paragraph, for example, that is part of the statute.
MR. LINDSEY. About notifying Congress in writing in advance?
MR. MATTINGLY. The statute says that with the permission of the President they can make loans.
There you have it. The ESF doesn't have to notify Congress about
anything in advance. It is under the sole authority of the Secretary of
the Treasury and the President, and they can do "gold swaps" without
any Congressional approval, which brings up an important point I made in
"The Smoking Gun".
I had noted a curious pattern in the correspondence emanating from
the Treasury Department. The Secretary of the Treasury never answered
any questioning letters concerning the ESF, even if they were written
directly to him. Rather, one of his assistants invariably responded. I
therefore wondered whether the Treasury Department chain of command was
being relied upon just like President Nixon had tried to rely upon the
White House chain of command in an attempt to avoid being sucked into
the vortex of a growing Watergate scandal. I even asked in "The Smoking
Gun": "Did Secretary Summer's knowledge of the goings-on in the
secretive ESF explain why his underlings, and not him, were writing the
letters denying US government involvement within the Gold market?" The above excerpts from the FOMC transcript clearly establish that my question needs answering.
It is becoming increasingly clear as more and more evidence emerges
that the Secretary of the Treasury does not answer questions concerning
the ESF because he, but not his underlings, know to what extent the ESF
is engaged in gold related activity. His underlings can say that the
ESF is not involved in the gold market because as far as they know, what
they say is true. However, we now have sufficient evidence proving
that the ESF is indeed involved in the gold market. Therefore, the
Secretary of the Treasury does not respond to letters asking questions
about the ESF and its activity in the gold market. He can't answer them
truthfully without 'spilling the beans'. He obviously knows everything
about what really is going on within the ESF, in contrast to his
underlings. Or at least most underlings because it appears that one of
them is in there up to his elbows washing ESF laundry. His name is Ted
Truman.
From the FOMC transcripts it is quite apparent that Ted Truman has a
special role. Though recorded in the attendee list in the FOMC
transcripts under the featureless title of "economist", his role is
anything but ordinary. The transcripts reveal that he clearly speaks
for the Treasury Department in FOMC meetings, and is very knowledgeable
about the ESF. The insight displayed by him in the FOMC minutes makes
it clear that he is not just fully informed about the ESF and its
operations, but that he probably is also intimately involved in ESF
decision making. Consequently, the following excerpt is particularly
intriguing.
MR. PARRY. What is the size of the ESF?
MR. TRUMAN. The usable funds in the ESF today, counting the foreign exchange as usable, amount to roughly $25 billion.
MR. PARRY. Can you say how it is broken down?
MR. TRUMAN. About $5 billion is invested in Treasury securities
and the balance is roughly equally divided between marks and yen. I
think they have slightly more yen than marks.
MR.PARRY. Thank you.
MR.BOEHNE. Is any of it obligated in any way beyond what we are talking about with Mexico?
MR. TRUMAN. It is obligated only in the sense that they have one other swap arrangement with the Bundesbank.
Wouldn't it be interesting to know what this swap arrangement with
the Bundesbank entailed? What is the nature of this swap? Is it a
Dollar/Deutschemark swap facility? Or is something else being swapped,
like gold perhaps?
Gold being swapped with the Bundesbank? It's an outrageous thought.
Or is it? I have already established that the ESF is very much involved
with gold. The only thing I haven't established is with whom the ESF
has those gold swaps that Virgil Mattingly was talking about.
Let's put one and one together here to see if we can come up with an
answer. According to Virgil Mattingly, the ESF has authorized gold
swaps, presumably in the recent past (circa 1995). According to Ted
Truman, the only outstanding swap facility of the ESF (circa 1995) other
than the one established for Mexico is their facility with the
Bundesbank. Ergo, the ESF has a gold swap facility with the Bundesbank.
It's an interesting proposition, and one that fits well with another
newly discovered fact. Some very interesting sleuthing by Mike Bolser,
who has been assisting Reg Howe in his lawsuit against the BIS, has
revealed that the Treasury has made a small but very significant
accounting change. Mike noticed that the Treasury Department has
changed the designation of nearly 1700 tonnes of inventoried gold at the
US Mint's facility in West Point, New York (approximately 21% of the
total US Gold Reserve) from "Gold Bullion Reserve" to "Custodial Gold".
The August 2000 Status Report on US Treasury Owned Gold stored at West Point has a designation of "Gold Bullion Reserve". (See: http://207.87.26.43/gold/00-08.html).
But the September 2000 and subsequent status reports inexplicably
designate this same gold that is stored at the US Mint in West Point as
"Custodial Gold". (See: http://207.87.26.43/gold/00-09.html).
This change was made without explanation, so rather than let the
matter remain unexplained, Mike diligently contacted the Treasury asking
what seemingly are two uncomplicated questions. Would the Treasury
please explain why they made this change, and what does this change in
designation mean with respect to the ownership status of the gold at
West Point?
They are simple questions, but perhaps they touch too close to a
nerve. Not surprisingly, the Treasury so far has not responded to Mike.
I have some views on what Mike discovered, and why the Treasury is so
quiet about it. I think this change in asset classification is related
to the ESF gold swaps. Here's my thinking.
The change Mike spotted possibly occurred as a result of accountants
looking at the financial statements of the US Mint being prepared for
its annual report ending fiscal year 2000. Note that the previous
director of the Mint (Phillip Diehl) resigned in early 2000, so this was
the first annual report signed by the new director (Jay Johnson). If
there is one thing that government bureaucrats do well, they take great
pains to call things by their right name. To do otherwise would put
their job in jeopardy if something under their responsibility came under
Congressional scrutiny, and it was subsequently determined that the
name assigned to something was incorrect or misleading.
Therefore, this change in the descriptive label for nearly 1,700
tonnes of gold at West Point from "Gold Bullion Reserve" to "Custodial
Gold" was purposeful. It happened for a reason. This conclusion is all
the more plausible because the Treasury did not change the
classification from "Gold Bullion Reserve" to "Custodial Gold" to
describe the gold stored in Fort Knox or at the US Mint in Denver.
Maybe new US Mint director Johnson saw something he didn't like. What
could that have been?
I've already put one-and-one together to establish that the ESF has
"gold swaps" with the Bundesbank. It therefore does not require much
conjecture to add one supposition to the equation by concluding that the
gold in West Point has been swapped with gold owned by the Bundesbank,
thereby necessitating its reclassification from "Gold Bullion Reserve"
to "Custodial Gold". Here's what I think has happened.
The Treasury Department wanted to make gold available to some bullion
banks. This statement is based on my basic premise that several of the
big banks have gold books that are hopelessly imbalanced. By having
borrowed short and loaned long, these banks have in their quest for
profits imprudently fallen into the alluring but usually fatal banker's
deathtrap - a mismatched loan book. But what's worse for these banks,
it is even more difficult and treacherous to try extricating themselves
from this particular deathtrap because they haven't mismatched their
loan book of dollars, which we all know can be created by the Federal
Reserve 'out of thin air' if dollars are needed to bailout banks from a
deathtrap predicament. Instead, these banks have mismatched their gold
book. And no one - not even the Federal Reserve - can create gold out
of thin air.
So given this reality about the nature of gold, the Treasury had to
turn elsewhere to find the gold necessary (1) to keep these banks from
defaulting on their bullion obligations arising from their mismatched
gold books in an environment where metal had become increasingly
difficult to come by and/or (2) to keep the gold price low so that the
likelihood of default by the banks would be lessened, even though metal
would remain tight because fabrication year after year was exceeding
newly mined supply. Rather than accept the bitter pill that certain
banks were about to default on their bullion obligations, the Treasury
looked for alternatives and found one - they put their hand into the
till, until recently known as the Gold Bullion Reserve at West Point.
They swapped this gold with the Bundesbank. I'll explain how they did
it, but let's first consider the practical aspects of this transaction.
In all likelihood, these particular bullion banks needed gold in
Europe where their obligations were originally established. There is
very little gold lending in New York. It is a practical problem to ship
the gold out of West Point without raising the alarm of government
auditors. It is costly too. Also, it is likely that some of the gold
in West Point is coin-melt from the 1933 gold confiscation. Even if it
could be smuggled out of the West Point vault into the market without
raising suspicions, the alarm bells would go off at the refiner and soon
thereafter in the market because everyone knows that only the US
government has coin-melt bars. The appearance of coin-melt bars in the
market would immediately raise suspicions that the US Gold Reserve was
being dishoarded, an outcome that the Treasury would obviously take
steps to avoid in concocting its scheme because the US Gold Reserve
cannot be depleted without Congressional approval. Therefore, one is
faced with the practical considerations of overcoming these hurdles, but
the answer is relatively simple.
The Treasury has gold in West Point. The Bundesbank has gold in
Europe. The Treasury cannot directly do a deal with the Bundesbank
because unlike the ESF, the Treasury is subject to Congressional
oversight. So instead the Secretary of the Treasury and the President
decide to use the ESF to set up a swap line for gold with the
Bundesbank.
By so doing, the gold in the Bundesbank's vault in Europe becomes ESF
gold, to do with as they please - i.e., the ESF lends this metal to
bailout certain bullion banks. And the Bundesbank now owns the gold in
West Point, which as a result was purposefully re-classified from Gold
Bullion Reserve to Custodial Gold because the Treasury no longer owns
this gold, having swapped it out through the ESF in exchange for gold in
Europe owned by the Bundesbank. Case closed. The mystery of the
abnormally low gold price is solved. The ESF did it.
The abnormally low gold price is the result of the mounting
irrefutable evidence that the ESF is deeply involved in the gold market,
and I do mean deep. They are involved in some 1,700 tonnes worth
because that is the weight of gold stored in West Point, which was
probably being swapped at the rate of a few hundred tonnes per year from
circa 1995 through 2000. There are two other tidbits that I would like
to share with you that add even more validity to this supposition.
First, a couple of months ago I was analyzing the 1998 and 1999
balance sheets of the ESF. Being an ex-banker, I know a little bit
about accounting, including where to find the big holes through which
the proverbial truck can be driven. And suffice it to say, I found one
of those, which could suggest that in these two years 975 tonnes of gold
came into the market from the ESF. Interestingly, after reaching this
conclusion, I wanted to test it. So I called a top gold market expert
whose supply/demand analyses are second to none, and who believes that
gold from the US reserves has been coming into the market for several
years.
Without telling him about my analysis of the ESF balance sheet, I
asked him how much gold he thought came out of the Treasury/ESF in 1998
and 1999 in total. His response was 1,000 tonnes, a mere 25 tonnes
difference from what I deduced from the ESF financial statements. When I
told him this, that we had both reached the same conclusion from
different sources, he chuckled but was not in the least bit surprised,
being so convinced that the Treasury/ESF has been a major source of
metal for years. I have thoroughly reviewed his supply/demand numbers
since 1994 and have determined that as much as 2,000 tonnes of gold from
the US reserve may have entered the market in order to make the gold
price as low as it is, which leads me to the second tidbit that I would
like to share with you. It is just as intriguing.
This same individual told me several months ago about some
astonishing intelligence he had learned from a source in Europe. He told
me that the Bundesbank's gold vault was empty, which seemed so
preposterous that I found it hard to believe. He also admitted that
this news startled him when he learned about it, and that he did not
have an adequate explanation for it. He knew that the Bundesbank was an
active lender of gold, but he had a difficult time accepting the
possibility that all 3,400 tonnes that it owned had been loaned. Yet he
was confident that his source had provided him with accurate
information.
We now know what has happened. The Bundesbank has loaned 1,700
tonnes, one-half of its 3,400 tonnes reserve; the other 1,700 tonnes
were swapped for gold in the US reserves, requiring the change in the
West Point vault from Gold Bullion Reserve to Custodial Gold. In other
words, the Bundesbank's vault is empty because one-half of their gold is
stored in West Point not Europe, and the other half has been loaned
out.
Despite the irrefutable proof that the ESF is involved in the gold
market, two questions remain unanswered. First, what's the ESF's motive?
Unfortunately, we just don't know for certain.
Many, including me, claim that it is to use gold to provide the
liquidity needed to bailout some big banks that have imprudently grown
their gold books by recklessly expanding credit and mismatching their
asset/liability maturities. These banks are the ones with the unusual -
some say abnormal - derivative activities that are named as
co-defendants in Reg Howe's suit against the BIS. That this list
includes Germany's largest bank may explain why the Bundesbank would
agree to participate in this gold swap scheme. It was bailing out one
of its own.
Others claim the ESF aims to manipulate the gold price to make
inflation numbers look better than they really are by keeping the gold
price artificially low. And there are some who argue that the US
government, acting at the behest and under the instructions of the big
banks, aim to destroy their combined arch enemy - gold, regardless of
the fact that the gold mining industry would be destroyed along with it.
This last theory is not outlandish. It has currency because gold is
the world's only free-market money. In contrast to national currencies,
all of which circulate only because of government fiat, Gold's value
derives from everyone who understands that it has usefulness as money.
And governments and banks don't like the fact that while they can
manipulate gold for a time - and as have we have seen in recent years,
even a long time - they cannot in the end control the price of gold
anymore than they can control the price of a Picasso painting. The
value of a Picasso is determined by the free-market, and so too is gold.
In short, you and I give gold its value - not the central banks, not
the US government or any other government, either acting alone or
together. But the US government either has not yet learned - or refuses
to admit - this reality that its power to control gold is limited,
which is an inexplicable conclusion unless you accept the notion that
governments have short memories and need to relearn what logic says they
should have learned from experience.
If logic prevailed, the US government would have learned from its
ill-fated attempt in the 1960's to keep the price of gold abnormally
cheap at $35 per ounce that the market determines gold's value. But
instead, the US government is about to learn that it cannot keep a manipulated 'floating-rate' gold price from rising any more than it was able to keep the manipulated 'fixed-rate' gold price
from rising thirty years ago. The free-market rate of exchange between
dollars and gold will prevail, eventually repeating today what happened
in the 1970's after the artificially low $35 rate was no longer tenable
- the gold price will skyrocket higher. It is well worthwhile keeping
in mind that the gold price rose nearly three-fold in the eighteen
months after the fixed-rate price was abandoned in August 1971.
Then there is the second unanswered question. To what extent is
today's exceptionally low gold price the responsibility of certain
bullion banks, which have cheapened gold by extending gold credit to
such an extreme, and the ESF, by perpetuating this scheme? This
question too does not have an answer, at least not yet. But as the
truth about the ESF's involvement in the gold market continues to emerge
and become more widely known, the price of gold is destined to rise to a
more normal level, just like it did after August 1971. The high price
that gold eventually achieves will indicate how badly certain bullion
banks and the ESF have damaged gold mining companies and the gold
industry.
In conclusion, while we don't know whether any of these motives for
manipulating the gold price that I ascribed to the US government are
accurate, one point is clear and cannot be denied. The US government
cannot claim that the ESF is not involved with gold. We now have the
irrefutable proof that establishes beyond any reasonable doubt that the
ESF is indeed involved in the gold market. We know this for a fact
because of our peek behind closed doors.
No comments:
Post a Comment